TUPD-2025-006

表 題 Aging Farmers and the Role of Community in Adaptation to Extreme Temperature Effects on Crop Yields: Empirical Evidence from Japan
著 者 Yi-Chun Ko

Assistant Professor, Asian Growth Research Institute
Visiting Researcher, Graduate School of Economics and Management, Tohoku University

Shinsuke Uchida

Professor, Graduate School of Economics Nagoya City Univesity
Visiting Professor,Research Center for Policy Design, Tohoku University

Akira Hibiki

Director, Research Center for Policy Design, Tohoku University
Professor, Graduate School of Economics and Management, Tohoku University

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要 旨

This study explores farmer’s adaptation mechanisms to climate change. We explore how farmer’s age and engagement in community activities affect crop production under extreme temperatures. By using the municipality-level data on Japanese rice production in 2001–2018, we find a nonlinear (inverted U-shaped) age effect on the relationship between temperatures and rice yields. Farmers aged 60 exhibit the most capable of mitigating yield losses from extreme temperatures, while farmers above and below this age threshold suffer significant yield declines. Such declines can be averted by reinforcing networks and relationships among farm community members through active engagement in the community.

キーワード Age, Climate change, Crop yields, Extreme temperatures, Farm community engagement, Farmers’ adaptation capability, Rice
発行年月 April 2025

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