TUPD-2024-001
TITLE | Tariffs on Input Trade Margins under Vertical Oligopoly: Theory and Evidence |
AUTHORS | Associate Professor, Faculty of Economics and Business Admin Fukushima University Indian Institute of Management Professor, UNSW Business School Fellow, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry |
P D F | |
PUBLISHED IN |
RIETI Discussion Paper Series 17-E-025
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ABSTRACT | What is the effect of tariffs on the input trade margins when vertically related markets are oligopolistic? To address the question, this paper develops a vertical oligopoly model in which one country specializes in producing a final good while another country specializes in producing an intermediate good by taking into account strategic interactions among firms. We find that, for constant-elasticity demand, a tariff reduction increases the number of trading firms (extensive margin) and average trade value per firm (intensive margin) in the vertically related sectors, raising the intensive margin relative to the extensive margin. To assess the empirical relevance of our theoretical results, we focus on China’s WTO accession which was a large policy change to Chinese firms. We find that a tariff reduction significantly increases both margins in the post-WTO period, though the effect on the extensive margin is much smaller than that on the intensive margin. |
KEYWORDS | Import tariffs, input trade, vertical oligopoly, extensive and intensive margins |
POSTED | March 2024 |