PolicyDesign

TUPD-2023-004

TITLE A Bayesian analysis of vegetable production in Japan
AUTHORS Akira Hibiki

Professor/Director, Research Center for Policy Design
Graduate School of Economics and Management, Tohoku University

Koji Miyawaki

Associate Professor,School of Economics, Kwansei Gakuin University
Visiting Associate Professor, Graduate School of Economics and Management, Tohoku University

P D F
PUBLISHED IN Journal of Agricultural, Biological and Environmental Statistics
ABSTRACT

Microeconomic theory often assumes that a producer maximizes its profit. As a consequence, under perfect competition, the optimal production amount is either zero or positive, where the latter satisfies the condition that the price is equal to the cost for the additional production amount (the marginal cost). This paper proposes two statistical models directly derived from this relationship and develops a Bayesian estimation method for the parameters included in this relationship. The models are applied to analyze vegetable production in Japan.

KEYWORDS Producer theory; Bayesian approach; Jeffreys’ prior.
ISSUED May 2023

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