PolicyDesign

TUPD-2023-012

TITLE The Effect of Bank Recapitalization Policy on Credit Allocation, Investment, and Productivity: Evidence from a Banking Crisis in Japan
AUTHORS Hiroyuki Kasahara

Vancouver School of Economics, University of British Columbia

Graduate School of Economics and Management, Tohoku University

Yasuyuki Sawada

Faculty of Economics, The University of Tokyo

Michio Suzuki

Graduate School of Economics and Management, Tohoku University
Cabinet Office, Government of Japan

P D F
PUBLISHDED IN Journal of Banking & Finance Volume158 January 2024, 107047 
ABSTRACT

This paper examines the ramification of government capital injections into financially distressed banks during the 1997 Japanese banking crisis. By leveraging a unique dataset merging firm-level financial statements and bank balance sheets, the study aims to examine whether the capital injections primarily benefited high-productivity firms or were misallocated to struggling “zombie” firms. The empirical results suggest that banks, post-injection, increased lending to both high-productivity non-zombie firms and low-productivity zombie firms. While the former is in line with conventional theories that prioritize high-productivity firms for investment and productivity enhancement, the latter suggests credit misallocation towards struggling firms mainly for debt servicing. Intriguingly, the study finds no evidence that these injections promoted investments among firms, irrespective of their productivity or financial health status. In particular, we provide suggestive evidence that zombie firms even reduced investments, especially in infrastructure, while high-productivity non-zombie firms did not exhibit a significant investment boost despite receiving more loans. However, these high-productivity firms displayed positive growth in labor productivity and total factor productivity, potentially driven by sales growth and increased advertisement expenses rather than employment and wage adjustments.

KEYWORDS Capital injection; Bank regulation; Banking crisis; Total Factor Productivity; Zombie
ISSUED August 2023

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